-DATE- 19850918 -YEAR- 1985 -DOCUMENT_TYPE- INTERVIEW -AUTHOR- F. CASTRO -HEADLINE- PRESS FORUM BY VENEZUELAN JOURNALIST -PLACE- HAVANA'S PALACE OF CONVENTIONS -SOURCE- HAVANA TELEVISION SVC -REPORT_NBR- FBIS -REPORT_DATE- 19850923 -TEXT- FURTHER REPORTAGE ON PRESS FORUM Castro Statement FL181913 Havana Television Service in Spanish 1202 GMT 18 Sep 85 [Response by President Fidel Castro to questions posed by Venezuelan journalist Lucila de Logras during 17 September session of the Latin American Press Forum on the Regional Financial Crisis, held at Havana's Palace of Conventions -- recorded] [Text] [Lucila de Logras] The refinancing of 15 percent of Cuba's foreign debt has been achieved under better conditions than other Latin American countries. If Cuba does not have overwhelming economic problems, and the debt is not strangling Cuba like it is other countries, what is your purpose, Mr President, for having these forums? If the idea is not to create a block of debtor countries but to create awareness to the problem, it can be considered that what motivates you is the altruism of an out of the ordinary statesman assuming the initiative by honoring these congresses that seem to be monumental and very costly but, doubtless, should be held by someone. You said not long ago -- and this is the third question -- that the problem of the foreign debt will have to be resolved or the democratic process will die. What measures would Cuba adopt if the democratic systems collapse? Do you consider yourself the savior of Latin American democracy, or of the established capitalist financial system? And the final question is: Because Cuba has established a new economic order with socialist countries, including long-term, no-interest loans, could you become the mediator between Latin America and the USSR as a pressure mechanism so that international banks and the IMF would have to improve the treatment of Latin America and the Third World? that's all [laughter] [Castro] Dos Santos, if I leave this for tomorrow, I will not sleep tonight! [laughter] Well, I would have to ask for details to see what the terms were for our last refinancing agreements. There are four questions; this will take more than 5 minutes. [laughter] I know that I participated in the first refinancing procedure. I met with the individuals, the Paris Club. This has been more than 2 years. Refinancing was a new phenomenon. I remember a few years ago, refinancing was synonymous to total bankruptcy. The governments did not want to refinance because it seemed scandalous until the governments were made to refinance. We have also had our credit needs for several reasons. It was mentioned here, for example, in the case of unequal trade. It is not that way always. It is not that way always [repeats himself]. Many times unequal trade creates a trade deficit. The deficit creates credit necessities, or else one has to impose a great sacrifice on the population. We inherited an underdeveloped, dependent, one-product economy that still carries a lot of weight in the [words indistinct] world. This great weight no longer has the same connotation. We sell a great portion of that sugar in the socialist market, not to all the socialist countries, depending on the socialist country's development. The result is that sugar is one of the most profitable products for our country, much more so than any other product. It can easily bring in $5,000 per hectare. That is not bad. Corn and other products do not produce as much, but we have guaranteed prices with our sugar. In trading with the Western world, we have to use sugar to obtain currency that we use for a series of products that we cannot purchase in the socialist areas, such as raw materials, medications, and some foods. There are some products which we do not have sufficient natural resources to develop, sufficient land, in two words. We have developed agricultural products such as citrus, for example. Where have we planted them? If you look at our large citrus plantations, they are almost on top of bare rocks, rocky land. With a large bulldozer, we level the land. We use dynamite to plant citrus. Nothing else can be planted there and, nevertheless, excellent citrus is raised. They have subsoil with water, sufficient land, despite difficulties. The land cannot be used for sugarcane or anything else except for citrus. The best grapefruit in the world is raised in the Isle of Youth, in sandy land of very low quality that cannot even be used for grazing. Nevertheless, it is impermeable land, and with adequate fertilizers it can produce a grapefruit of an extraordinary quality. I warn you that I am not making propaganda because we were thinking of exporting grapefruit to our Latin American brothers. Finally, I am explaining the origin of our need for credit when sugar prices in the world market collapsed. We saw our sugar at 3, 3 and 1/2, and 4 cents while the needs of the country were maintained and increasing. If we did not receive credit, it was for two reasons. Because of these problems, the deficit, [words indistinct], a fall in prices, or because we wanted to make some investments for which we did not have fresh currency. We could not pay [words indistinct] in some types of factory, industrial equipment that we could not acquire through socialist countries. There is where our debt originated and accumulated through the years, not very big. That debt was not very big but it caused a certain burden. In the last few years sugar prices have been [words indistinct] depressed. We not only suffered the consequences of sugar prices but also of being a blockaded country. To sell our nickel, we had to go through tremendous work. I do not know, for example, if you know that the United States had dictated procedures prohibiting imports of equipment or steel produced with Cuban nickel. We opened a small nickel market in Japan, France, FRG, England, and Italy. Then the United States with its gigantic [words indistinct] economic, important market [words indistinct] Italian, German, Japanese were told: If it has Cuban nickel, you cannot export it to the United States. You can imagine what happened. We took care of this ourselves. Nickel, as you know, is a mineral composed of molecular atoms. I can't explain how you can place a sign on a molecule of nickel. It is a very difficult thing and I don't know how they arranged this but all this complicated purchases. Some purchased nickel and steel for other things, for other markets. The United States follows all our commercial operations everywhere in the world, whether it is the shrimp or lobster industry. That is another issue for underdeveloped countries, depriving itself of local consumption leaving it for protocol and the rest for some restaurants, around $100 million dollars in shrimp, lobster, and fish exports. We developed other export items under difficult conditions because, as it has been explained here, to find new markets is difficult, much more difficult if you are blockaded by the United States. We have had to confront difficulties because the blockade is a reality that is manifested everyday at all times. It is an incessant persecution of all our trade operations. We should say that the banks which gave loans to us under those conditions did not do so during the first 10 years of the revolution. They began doing it little by little. We were receiving short-term loans, as a general rule. We always paid back which built up the country's credit. But those banks -- I believe we are the creditors, excuse me, the debtors to some 100 banks; they are many -- gave us the financing in defiance of U.S. pressures. They did it openly, under great pressure. The United States controls almost all banking institutions in the world, directly or indirectly. Like the others, we were forced to contract that debt in convertible currency. But this debt in convertible currency is not limited to banks. We have acquired credits with Argentina, Brazil, [words indistinct] and other countries in the Third World. Our debt is made up of credits with some banks and credits with countries in the Third World. That is our debt in convertible currency. We have reduced our dependence on the so-called world market. Our trade with the Western market amounts to 15 percent of our trade. The rest, 85 percent, of our imports and exports is conducted with countries of the socialist camp; some developed socialist countries in Europe; some underdeveloped countries, with which we trade in practically world market prices, both what we buy and sell; and also China, with which we have rather broad trade relations but based on world market prices. Nevertheless, this is convenient for them because we supply to them large quantities [Unreadable text] sugar, and convenient for us because we receive some foodstuffs such as rice, soya, and a large number of goods produced by the Chinese. This is not the same type of trade we have with other countries, but 85 percent of our trade is conducted with socialist countries. So, this entire catastrophe, all this crisis affects our trade by 15 percent. It is true that our situation is not overwhelming because, as I have explained before, we now have attained our new economic order with socialist countries, above all with developed socialist countries. As I recently explained, this was not accomplished in 1 day, or on the 1st day. In the beginning, our trade was based on world market prices. It was a great advantage because of the U.S. blockade. [words indistinct] sugar market a quota of nearly 4 million tons of sugar, which was distributed among Latin American countries as a prize for having cooperated in the blockade and aggressions against Cuba, expulsion from the OAS, and so forth. In reality, those days were very tough for us. The countries took over our sugar quota. In addition to distributing the sugar quota among themselves, the Alliance for Progress program was created as a result of the revolution, and this program gave them some advantages, some worries for imperialism...well, let imperialism worry about it. They worry, what can it do? How can it stop the fire here or there? The Alliance for Progress program was the first attempt to isolate Cuba and, as they said, to try to limit the objective factors which could provoke revolutions. They were very scared, that is the truth. So, during this period of time...well, this in general is the idea which explains our situation. How, at a certain time, our situation was difficult, but it is not so today. The comrade is correct when she says that our situation is not difficult because...[leaves thought unfinished] I would like to say this. In our debts -- I spoke about the new order with socialist countries -- to socialist countries, we have achieved a new order first in the price of products, but that did not start on the first day. The idea I mentioned was that when the blockade was imposed on us, we were greatly relieved when we found someone to buy our sugar. When the oil supplies were stopped, it was a great relief when someone sold us oil. Who would sell us raw materials? Who would sell us foodstuffs? All those things that the United States stopped selling us. All our problems were not solved because all our machinery, equipment, transportation means, factories, industries, more than 90 percent were manufactured in the United States. Exports of spare parts to Cuba were stopped. Even the exports of medicines and medical equipment were stopped, not even an aspirin. Gentlemen, take note of the inhumanity of that policy. Nothing could be sold to Cuba. Then, we began to trade with socialist countries, and we traded under world market conditions and prices. Later on, little by little we realized that a developing country under a blockade, unless it continued to place an enormous burden on the people, it could not continue to develop with the resources its economy was generating. It was necessary to establish credit. But, what happened then, it could be determined by looking at all projections, including all our exports and a reasonable growth of our exports, that our import needs for development were greater than the growth of our exports. Since then we have not had any problems with markets. In that sense we are the happiest people in the world. All we produce here has a market in the socialist area, of course, because that is a large market at least with respect to a small country like Cuba. I do not know if it could absorb all that is produced by Brazil, but it is [Unreadable text]apable of absorbing all that Cuba produces, all its nickel, all its grapefruits, all its tobacco, all its foodstuffs, all its sugar, all its liquors, everything. Our limits are determined by our production capacities, not by the markets' capacities. Nevertheless, it was clear...you said. I can remember the first projections, our first plans. Now you can imagine what our first plans looked like with our lack of experience. From the year 1960, 1965 to 1970, or from 63 to 68, 5 years, the trade deficit was growing annually. It was clear. In the light of the doctrine, in the light of revolutionary principles, in the light of international solidarity, should it be this way? Simply put, we needed preferential prices for our products. That is the way the preferential price began with our main commodity, sugar. It began with sugar. Sugar had its ups and downs in the world market. The first price we were given for sugar was 6 cents when the world market value was 3 or 4 cents. Suppose it was 50 percent more at least. Then we discover the law of unequal trade. It was magnificent with 6 cents, so much sugar, so much earning this and that that year. But at the end of the 5 years, what did we have? What we saw was that our sugar had a value of 6 cents over the 5 year period, while the prices of the goods we were importing from socialist countries, which are governed and have historically been governed by the world market prices, were going up. Every year they grew by a certain percentage, that is the price of everything exported to us while our sugar continued to have the same price. Thus, after 5 years sugar had a lower value than it had the first year. So a new matter comes up, the need for a sliding price scale. That is the popular import price index. So we obtained a satisfactory price for sugar later on, after many years. Because this did not come from theory but from practice, studies, observed realities. The time came when we had a satisfactory, profitable, even even profitable price for our sugar. But another clause was added, a sliding price clause. Import goods were analyzed and the price of those import goods rose, the top price of our sugar also rose. It started with sugar. Then it continued with nickel, citrus, and continued with our economy's main items. This is how our new economic order was built. It did not come from any book or theory. It came from realities and it was established through the years. We later discovered that those trade and investment credits were accumulated and they became a debt which, although had very low interest rates -- 2.3 percent, the first credits were around 2 percent -- but they amounted to hundreds of millions. They had to be paid at a given time. This is when our first foreign debt renegotiation was made many years ago. This is when we found a solution because solutions are found when there are equal relations, when there are fair relations between developed countries and developing or under developed countries. This is how we then made the first renegotiation and payment was deferred 15 years without interest. The debt renegotiation modality was established for a long period of time without interest. This is the foundation on the principle that this is a debt in theory. In reality... Because the phenomenon continues to be true that developed countries develop even more. And there is a principle we have defined in the CEMA, and that it is is established in the CEMA, that more developed countries within socialist countries should contribute and should struggle for the development of poorer countries, that they come closer to developed countries. That has been established as a principle. It is applied to countries such as Vietnam, Cuba, also countries such as ... [voice in the background says, Mongolia] Mongolia, and other countries. I think that the CEMA there are also Laos, and, I think, Kampuchea. Those countries are even poorer than we are. They have fewer resources. I believe the principle of pardoning the debt should come from here, to erase the debt. We have not reached that stage yet. But the stage will come where debts should be erased. This is the same thing we are proposing for all. But in practice it does not affect us because our debt, is renegotiated automatically, long-term, and without interest. So, by not being affected in practice by this problem ... [leaves thought unfinished] what we have to pay in interest is less than five percent of the country's total exports. What we have to pay for the debt's services in the area of convertible foreign currency is less, including some payments, is less than 9 percent of the country's total exports. This situation is perfectly tolerable for us. It is true that we have not presented this problem as our need. It is not that we are good samaritans, it is not that we are the most altruistic people in the world. I think we are altruistic, I say it sincerely. It is not that we are the most quixotic people in the world, but I believe we are quixotic. Our revolution's history and our solidarity with many countries has shown it. Cubahas over 1,500 doctors working abroad. During the first years of the revolution, we were left with 3,000 out of 6,000 doctors. The United States took them, they shamelessly stole our country's brains. They opened the doors to everyone to leave us without teachers, doctors, technicians, engineers. We accepted the challenge by telling those who wanted to leave to leave and said: let's train a new generation of technicians and professionals. Those who stayed helped us. Today, we have almost 23,000 doctors and over 2,500 are graduating annually. This year, 2,500 doctors graduated. We are having massive graduations while maintaining good quality; we should say, increasing quality. There are around 50,000 Cubans working as internationalists abroad, including engineers, technicians, doctors, and also soldiers, Because we have had to help countries who have been attacked. One hears about South Africa now. But we have been giving aid to Angola for nearly 10 years. Angola is a country which has been uninterruptedly threatened by South Africa. South Africa is reaching its time of definite crisis just as is imperialism, which is experiencing a castastrophic economic and political situation. We have had the patience and perserverance of 10 years, without pay. We could not even dream to ask anyone to pay us for helping with soldiers, because the blood of a Cuban revolutionary and Cuban internationalist does not have a price. It cannot be paid with anything. [applause] Nevertheless, we have taken our struggle against imperialism in a variety of fields. We have helped quite a few countries. There are Cuban engineers, technicians, doctors. There are scholarship holders from over 80 countries in Cuba, over 22,000 scholarship holders. We are the country with the greatest number of foreign scholarship holders per capita in the world. So we help many with what we have. If one figures out how much it would cost to an international organ the free solidarity Cuba gives to Third World countries, it would amount to $1 billion a year. The World Health Organization has to pay $50,000 or $60,000 for a doctor in Africa. Our doctors go there and work. The only thing they get is food and lodging. It does not cost them a penny. A European doctor has to go with his family. They have to pay transportation for the family, vacations, everything, housing. Sometimes, eight of our doctors live in one house. They sleep in bunk beds if they have to. But this aid can amount to over $1 billion annually. Of course, it does not cost us anything in foreign currency. We pay their salaries here in Cuba. That is the mechanism. We print the money and we collect it. It does not affect our foreign exchange. Our system has certain advantages where all these financial problems are concerned. We had to begin rationing when the economic blockade began, and it lasted for many years; there are still some products that are rationed in our country. Nowadays we h[Unreadable text] two markets: One which is rationed and subsidized and which guarantees the indispensable minimum to each citizen; and another market with higher prices, the parallel market. But I want you to know that in Cuba, which is the world's chief exporter of sugar, sugar is rationed. Of course, the price is low and the rations are more or less what people need, but we ration sugar to prevent waste of our resources. We have achieved our development with international cooperation but also with a great effort on our part. We have done it this way. And we have also -- as I have already said -- shared our cooperation, and we have done it with a will. To express it in a few words, an internationalist spirit has been developed. Where does this internationalist spirit come from? It comes partly from doctrine but it also comes from experience. When we saw that the socialist countries helped us to survive and defend ourselves, we felt a great moral obligation to express our solidarity with others that were in need and required our help. Experience taught us this. It is a basic duty to reciprocate. For this reason we have said that to be internationalistic is to pay our own debt to humanity. Others have helped us and we have helped others. We also take action because we are revolutionary, and the term "revolutionary" refers to a category of persons who are perhaps quixotic, dreamers, idealists, who want to solve problems, dispense and struggle for justice. And there are a lot of people like that. I am sure that deep down many of you are like this. We also take action because we are fighters and have accepted the imperialist challenge of the country that tried to destroy us, that challenge of the system that tried to destroy us, blockade us, and crush us, that threatened us and sent mercenary expenditions, that tried to destabilize us, and planned assassinations of the revolutionary leaders, that did everything! But I have forgotten those plans, or rather I laugh at them. Their ridiculous plans to eliminate us amuse me, their belief that a revolution can be eliminated by eliminating its leaders, that a revolution is like rabies and that, by eliminating the dog, rabies can be eliminated. They don't realize they would have to eliminate an entire rabid people, that is, an entire revolutionary people, which it is impossible to do. We are fighters and we are motivated by struggle also. I do not believe this is exceptional. We are fighters, we like to fight, and we have been fighting. I have been describing many of these problems for many years, as we became aware of these serious truths. Because underdevelopment is very serious and it is very difficult to become developed in this world even if you make a maximum effort and save every last penny. By the way, there has been no flight of capital from Cuba; not one cent! Of all the credits Cuba has received, not one cent has fled Cuba, not one cent has been embezzled. We have always done everything possible to optimize our investments. I believe the results can be seen in the levels of education and health of our people, and in many other aspects, objectively. Although we do not claim the work of the revolution has been perfect, it has been a continuous effort, serious and constant, carried out with a degree of efficiency. This was one of our distinguishing characteristics: The fact that not one cent was lost, not one cent of capital fled Cuba. When you spoke of the causes of the debt, you forgot to mention the fact that capital flight is one of the prime causes of the debt. Because loans were made and the money did not even arrive, or it arrived and left immediately. There are $170 billion Latin American dollars. A Dominican spoke of over $7 billion, and I think this figure is low but Latin Americans have $170 billion in Switzerland, the United States and other places. The Yankees are waging a dirty campaign that is just a little cynical, as I explained recently too. They say: Castro recommends nonpayment but Castro is the best payer, and he pays. This is astounding because we have acquired a new standing -- that of being a good payer. Because they have always said we cannot pay and do not lend us a cent. They pressured all the banks, showing that the price of sugar was dropping, that the price of nickel was dropping, that we could not pay! And now they must be very upset by the miracle that the United States says we are the best payers. They do not say we are not a country that can be blockaded although we are a country blockaded by the world's greatest economic power. And we have created our own defensive mechanisms against that blockade, and these are our relations with the rest of the Western World. We are running a risk with the campaign we are waging. We are running a risk. There have been some attempts at pressure, I will say this very discreetly. [laughter] what we have done when we saw anything was to speak out energetically. Of course we react if they take the slightest measure against us. But they must not act to please the Yankees or help them in their economic blockade of Cuba. For this reason we have said that as long as those countries or those banks with which we [words indistinct] that resisted pressure and lend us money that did not flee the country or get embezzled, we will continue to renegotiate with them as long as they do not join in the U.S. policy of blockade. In short, the policy we will follow is to pay all our creditors that are Third World countries, whatever happens. We do not owe one cent to any U.S. bank or the IMF or to any world credit organization, all of which they control. When we had to build a highway, we could not go to the World Bank to ask for credit. We had to get it from our own sweat, our sacrifices, but we built the highway, the dams, the infrastructure, the schools. I constantly see cables on the World Bank lending money to fix a highway, to build a dam, to build a themoelectric station. We have done all these things with our own resources, with socialist credits, with help, but we have never received help from any organization. This is the situation of our finances. I believe our position is absolutely correct and is not at all contradictory. We are not going to play a fool's role or react to a provocation or be swept along by intrigues or cooperate with the imperialists in their aggressive policy against Cuba. I met with the bank representatives the first time we negotiated [word indistinct] some time ago, and we talked and I explained a lot of things to them. The Yankees sabotaged the discussions. They even drew up a paper to challenge all our documentation, and gave a copy to each of the bankers. But we also had a copy. The bankers thought they shared a great secret. And when I spoke with them, I said you are worried. You are checking out the guarantees and you should see what the united States is doing. Look at the campaign they are carrying out. Look at the document you all have in your pockets and that I have too. [laughter] Look what it says. They are sabotaging the negotiations, apparently because they don't want you to [leaves thought unfinished] I told them that we recognize that you trusted us despite U.S. pressures and we are willing to pay but you must cooperate because, if you don't we will decide how we are going to pay; when, how, and how quickly we are going to pay. We are going to make the decisions. We spoke clearly saying that we understood we had certain moral obligations towards them because, in mid-blockade, they had cooperated but they should not let themselves get swept up in Yankee intrigues or drag their feet. This was how we renegotiated with that group of banks, two or three years ago. We renegotiate constantly because not everything is renegotiated at once. One amount after another is renegotiated, and that is how it is done. But we have been running the risk -- the only risk we have run -- that they will be tempted to take reprisals against us because we have been waging this campaign. We had told them that we are going to continue with this campaign and that we cannot be pressured. Very few have tried to pressure us, and they have received their answer. A short while ago we were talking about how an isolated country can make decisions by itself. We are now talking about joint action by all nations, Latin American and Third World nations, but beginning with Latin America. [words indistinct] proclaiming that an isolated country accept the burden. We prefer prior consensus, united action. We even prefer a dialogue with the creditors, not to pay the debt but to tell them the way in which the debt is to be erased. We can do this elegantly, even in a friendly way. We have explained that. But we also foresee that countries that are desperate will take the step. Some have already taken the step and kept quiet about it. It may happen that some country of sufficient importance will take the step and proclaim that it is going to suspend payment, then it may be the object of a blockade. Foreseeing this circumstance, we have done a lot of work in all the nonaligned countries, all the countries of the Third World. We have sent many documents to all the chiefs of state. And we have also created conditions of solidarity with countries that out of desperation find themselves forced to take that step. We do not consider this ideal but it could happen because no one is certain that the prior consensus, which would be ideal, will be achieved. It seems to me that this crisis can be unleashed by desperate countries having to adopt the formula of suspending payments. This is a possibility. We have worked toward this, planning a strategy. The United States has shown itself to be lacking in ideas and a little bit desperate. For this reason they have intrigued to present the contradiction between the banner we are raising and the fact that we have renegotiated our debt in convertible currency. We have been working to increase awareness. This is the culmination of a long struggle. I explained recently how in 1971, 14 years ago, at a meeting in Chile of the ECLA, we discussed the problem of the debt, and it was then $30 billion in Latin America. In 1979, after the sixth summit at the United Nations, we explained the problem. They may have given you material containing my UN speech, in which I analyzed the situation. We saw the situation was accelerating because of the energy crisis, an energy crisis caused first and foremost by the waste of the industrialized nations, which created the conditions that caused prices to rise and made things very difficult for many countries. But the petroleum-producing countries cannot be blamed. You have to blame the wasteful international system that created those circumstances. I am not going to give you my opinion of how those resources were managed. Unfortunately, they were not handled in the best way by the countries that had those resources. Then in New Delhi, in 1983, at the seventh summit meeting, we discussed this problem of exchange. We had been discussing all these problems for a long time, and we saw that the crisis, the hurricane was upon us and we were almost in the vortex of the storm. We used the time to carry out multiple activities. The crisis is here and it seems to me that this is the time [changes thought]. Ideas do not generate crises, It is crises that generate ideas. I cannot say that in 1971 we had any idea of the best way to solve this problem. By 1979 we had some idea but we said at the United Nations that the famous decade of development was a joke, that there had been no such development. And we demanded $300 billion in 10 years. Really, in 10 years. [Unreadable text] realized that circumstances were changing, that the absurd situation that had been created gave us the initiative. Because we were not begging. If we begged, they could wait a lifetime and not pay any attention to us. But we were giving. Latin America was giving $37 billion then in 1984 and receiving only $10 billion, $10 billion that are lost to us through capital flight. It turns out that we were giving them almost $40 billion net per year, double what the Alliance for Progress considered necessary for economic and social development in a 10- or 15-year period, plus $20 billion they were stealing from us by lowering prices. We have not yet found coherent and more scientific explanations for that phenomenon, which in fact exists although I cannot explain it. Comrade (Cuscou) said that this year it would be $26 billion because in addition to the 22 percent drop in prices since 1980, 21 percent had been added in trade with the United States, and the price drop was going to be more than 30 percent. It is an incredible situation that is getting worse and worse. We were giving them the money. The initiative meant the possibility of our ceasing to give them money and taking the initiative ourselves. This is when I started to draw up all the ideas for solutions, the essence of which is transmit a message to the masses, to the workers, to the middle classes, to the tax payers, even to the industrialists of the developed capitalist countries. In opposition to the possible argument that it would ruin the banks, cause increased taxes, and cause bank accounts to be lost, we drew up an idea in which military outlays were in essence sacrificed, associating in this fashion this struggle to solve the problem of the debt and of the economic crisis with the struggle for peace, which is perhaps the most moving cause in the world, especially in the industrialized world. [Unreadable text] this world, because we were dying exactly as if we were at war, because tens of millions die every year: children, persons without medical care, persons whose lives are shortened because of many reasons, in numbers equivalent to all those who died in World War II, every year! [words indistinct] The message of peace may not strike us as deeply as it does countries that are in a different situation. Nevertheless, I believe we should go with those who are struggling for peace, with those who are struggling for development. We are seeking formulas that are not illusory, that have an objective basis, and can be accepted. We are struggling for the dissemination of all those ideas and for this reason we are attending all these meetings. I would deserve to go to Hell -- and even the liberation theologists who say revolutionaries are also instruments of God would agree I should go to Hell -- if I aspired to save this system, which bears the blame for all this. What we have proposed is the following: Capitalism is going to die whatever happens; it is a dying regime. But if they tell us that the solution to this problem of the debt, of the economic crisis, of the new international economic order, the creation of conditions for our development, even the possibilities of social change... [changes thought] why are there social changes in a country like Cuba and why do things like those that happened to Cuba happen precisely to Cuba, or to Nicaragua, everything that has happened to Nicaragua, or to Grenada, which they invaded with a specific pretext, and that pretext was the errors of the revolutionaries themselves. Or they invade Santo Domingo as they have invaded many countries, to collect a debt of blood for their social changes, because they are divided countries. I say that if a struggle to resolve the debt problem, the economic crisis, a new order, and the creation of the conditions for independence [changes construction] [Unreadable text] cause it is not now a matter of building socialism immediately. It is a question [Unreadable text] immediately achieving the independence we have lost and which we have less of than we had under the Spanish Government. (?This would be) objective. While we were governed through viceroys, the Yankees govern us through their proconsuls every day all day. They not only govern us, they indoctrinate us every day. They brainwash us truly with all the means of communication as you know perfectly well. And if this is true, we are not talking about building socialism immediately. We do not oppose socialism, not at all. [laughter] But tell me whether solving all these problems while increasing the possibilities of peace -- decreasing the danger of war by using a part -- 30 or 40 percent -- of the trillion years that are spent on arms to solve the debt problem, the economic crisis, and pay for the new economic order -- the new economic order has to be translated into much greater income from our exports -- If the price of all this is that the life of capitalism is to be prolonged for 10 or 20 or 30 years, this is a price we should pay gladly. I would say that this struggle tends to preserve humanity, if we can win out, and I believe we can. A group of petroleum-producing countries imposed its prices in a certain situation. A group of coastal nations with the aid of Third World nations imposed the 200-mile limit. A few battles have been won. I believe that all the Third World countries together can fight this battle at a decisive moment and win it. I told myself, let's suppose that all these suppositions cannot coincide because mankind is not wise enough, not sane enough to do what should be done at a time like this. The danger of war will remain and that is not completely agreeable. But someone proposed today that this problem be discussed in the meeting between Gorbachev and Reagan if they are going to talk peace, and of reducing the arms race. This is a logical suggestion, very logical. I don't know whether we can convince them, but it is logical they should discuss what is going to be done with those resources. And that would be the even better news for humanity, news not only of detente and of the hope of a reduction of the arms race but also of the investment of a considerable part of those resources in the solution of the problem of the crisis, the debt, development, and all those things. At heart, I am convinced that this situation is going to increase our awareness. I speak of revolutionary explosions and not of revolutions because I believe that subjective factors for resolution do not exist. They are still far away. The masses themselves do not understand the phenomenon of imperialism but I believe they will learn it with this daily lesson. What is the debt? The masses do not yet understand it fully, which is why a great deal of information must still be disseminated. They are nevertheless learning rapidly. Here we have seen Indians from the Andes who have transmitted their message to us on the debt, and it was impressive. And if they, who have had little chance to study, understand the problem and can explain it and transmit their message, I believe that when this problem has reached the awareness of the workers, the peasants, the students, the intellectuals, the middle class, all the progressive, nationalistic, patriotic sectors of Latin America, which are the immense majority -- because the only persons who will not benefit are a minority -- I believe we will have taken a great step forward in solving this problem. The subjective conditions will have approached the objective conditions, and if it is is not resolved the way we are suggesting, which seems to most rational to us, then there will be no other solution than that of revolutionary explosions, with a lot more danger of every kind. But let me say, we have no fear of revolutions, the word revolution does not frighten us, and we accept revolution as a possible solution. But we believe the possibility of resolving the problem in the most rational and peaceful way should be used. And if this cannot be achieved, then the solution will have to come. I say there is a baby waiting to be born and it will have to be born come what may. With or without an attending physician. That is, the midwives aren't very visible yet but when the time comes the baby will be born and the midwives will show up as they always do. The midwives of history always show up. They do not make themselves midwives of history; history makes them midwives. If Marti had been born in the 17th century, he would not have forged the party of independence. Marx and Engels and Lenin would not have been able to write their books. They could have written on utopia 100 years earlier but they could not have written about scientific socialism. If Lenin had been born in another epoch he would not have been Lenin. Neither would Bolivar, so justly praised today, have been Bolivar if he had lived 100 years later or 100 years earlier. And neither would Sucre or San Martin or Morelo or Juarez. He tells me he considers himself a history maker. It is not the man who makes history. It is history that makes the man. Everytime there has been a crisis and a need during any era, leaders have emerged. I believe this responds to many of the comrades statements that we are mediators between the Third World countries and the socialist countries. We have always been the lecturers. We have always been defending all these points of view. I remember when 10 years ago the new peace order, the new international economic order was discussed, the socialist countries provided their cooperation, When the Law of the Sea was being discussed, when though this idea was detrimental to the socialist countries, including ourselves, we were the advocates of the Third World countries supporting their Law of the Sea claims. They had large fleets and this was detrimental to them but they offered their support. I have no doubt that the socialist countries and all the progressive forces, including capitalistic countries not known as colonial forces, would support the solution to this problem. I am sure that if we accomplish that unity, the United States will be isolated with just a few countries. I am convinced of that. In the United States itself, there are people who are thinking about the youth meeting. I read a recently published article in the WALL STREET JOURNAL. My pronunciation is always very bad. [laughter] The article says we have reason, that the formula is correct and no other formula would resolve anything. I was amazed. So I am going to run the risk of being accused of being the savior of [words indistinct] which is the last thing I ever imagined in my life [laughter] but I hope that I would be just with everyone [laughter]. Not just with myself but with you because with this formula you are proposing here, it could be that you will he accused in the future of being saviors of capitalism. I believe that it is more likely you will be accused of being saviors of peace, saviors of the future, the peoples' destiny. Thank you very much. [applause] -END-